December 2, 2003

ARE THEY EVER ON THE RIGHT SIDE? (via Brian Hoffman):

German Leader Vows One-China Policy (MICHAEL FISCHER, 12/02/03, Associated Press)

Citing his country's own turbulent history, German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder affirmed his support Tuesday for the Beijing leadership's most frequently touted diplomatic principle - the "one-China policy" that insists Taiwan is part of the mainland.

To paraphrase Edmund Burke, all that it takes for evil to triumph is Germany.

Posted by Orrin Judd at December 2, 2003 12:11 PM
Comments

Karl Marx was german right? Born in Prussia? So communism and national socialism both arose from germany. What's the death toll between them, 200 million or so? And these days they do everything in their power to restrain liberal democracy from spreading or defending itself.

At your feet or at your throat.

Sometimes I truly regret the Hitler folded befor the first atomic bombs came online. I'm sorry if this makes me a bad person, but you've got to wonder if the extermination of the German race could be viewed as a perfectly legitimate act of self-defense on the part of the rest of humanity.

Posted by: Amos at December 2, 2003 1:25 PM

So in Germany's view of the "One China" policy
why can't Taiwan be the West Germany.

Posted by: J.H. at December 2, 2003 1:52 PM

J.H.

I think they have forgotten what difference it made. It was all just a matter of taste.

Posted by: Peter B at December 2, 2003 1:58 PM

J.H.--

You're not serious, are you?

Amos--

I wouldn't be hoping for a genocide of the Germans, or anyone else. But if the Europeans want to kill each other, that's all right with me too. Just keep us out of it. I think our troops should get on ships tomorrow.

Posted by: Brian (MN) at December 2, 2003 1:59 PM

At least they're never on the winning side.

Posted by: David Cohen at December 2, 2003 3:56 PM

Except in 1756, 1815, 1864, 1866, 1870, 1917 and 1940.

As far as I can remember, everybody but me thought the reunification of Germany was a great idea. Glad to learn I wasn't as alone as it seemed at the time.

Posted by: Harry Eagar at December 2, 2003 4:14 PM

Sadly, this isn't new, of course. Remember how Germany refused to sell parts for diesel subs two and a half years ago when we tried to sell half a dozen to Taiwan?

Posted by: John Thacker at December 2, 2003 4:25 PM

Harry:

Margaret Thatcher was with you.

When we take potshots at the EU, we tend to forget the whole project was designed in large part to contain Germany and that the failure of the EU would mean a renewed German threat to many of them. That is why so many Europeans are in such deep denial about EU weaknesses and why they simply can't countenance its failure or even a reversal of course.

Posted by: Peter B at December 2, 2003 4:30 PM

Uhm, isn't the US position something similar, albeit insisting that unification only occur with negotiation and consent of the Tawainese?

AFAIK while the Taiwan govt has never ruled out the possibility eventual peaceful reunification.

This is all tied up in some weird diplomatic dance where Taiwan is de facto independent but does not have a UN seat.

I guess I don't understand the subtle political shades of meaning regarding what "one-China policy" means. A quick search of Google is even more confusing as it seems to indicate that it is the Kuomintang (KMT) regime in Taiwan that has been insisting on "One China" for the past 50 years.

Posted by: Gideon at December 2, 2003 4:36 PM

Uhm, isn't the US position something similar, albeit insisting that unification only occur with negotiation and consent of the Tawainese?

You think that's similar to Germany's policy? Schroeder--who really ought to be in a gulag somewhere--doesn't share your "albeit."

the Kuomintang (KMT) regime in Taiwan that has been insisting on "One China" for the past 50 years.

1. The KMT's version of "One China" is that the KMT rules both from Beijing.

2. The "KMT regime" doesn't exist any more. The DPP (of which Chen is the leader) is in power in Taiwan.

Posted by: Brian (MN) at December 2, 2003 4:57 PM

Harry -- I'm tempted to point out that Germany didn't exist until 1871, or that the "victories" of 1917 and 1940 were, um, rather short-lived. But I'd rather just note that they can beat the French, but that's about it.

Posted by: David Cohen at December 2, 2003 4:59 PM

Gideon should note this important quote from the article:

"Schroeder also said his position means that Germany will not send ``sensitive goods'' like weapons to Taiwan..."

That's a pretty significant difference from the US.

Posted by: John Thacker at December 2, 2003 5:43 PM

Harry:

So what are they going to do? Besides become Turkish...

Posted by: oj at December 2, 2003 5:53 PM

David, Germany is nothing but a Great Prussia, which was the point of the whole exercise dating back to Frederick anyway.

So we can count all those others.

I could have added 1918, when the German Army routed the British Army, having already defeated the French and the Russians. Who was left then?

Uncle Sam.

Orrin, bully their neighbors. There are more Germans than there are Turks, even if you count the Turks in Turkey. They haven't changed and they are not going away.

Posted by: Harry Eagar at December 2, 2003 8:49 PM

They are going away and fairly rapidly and they've nothing left to bully with, since the Welfare State consumes their budget.

Posted by: oj at December 2, 2003 9:48 PM

Orrin:

Think Weimar, 1932. Times change quickly.

Posted by: Peter B at December 2, 2003 10:06 PM

What changed?

Posted by: oj at December 2, 2003 11:07 PM

All this is besides the point. Germany is looking ahead, not back. Would it be too much of a stretch to say that culling favor with Mainland China (People's Republic of, whatever) might be expected to reap extraordinary economic and (hopefully) geopolitical dividends for Germany, if not Schroeder, personally. One hand washes the other, and the Germans, like the French have had the Iraqi nozzle shut off (though Iran's still around, to be sure).

As we speak, VW is the hottest selling European car in China, and lots more Chinese are clawing their way into the middle classes.

And hey, if it means selling out Taiwan, well, it's a tough world out there, ain't it....

Besides, it's one more headache for Washington.

Posted by: Barry Meislin at December 3, 2003 2:34 AM

Barry:

Yes, Germany is indeed looking ahead. Germany is always looking ahead. That is the problem.

Posted by: Peter B at December 3, 2003 6:13 AM
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