December 16, 2003

ALLIES?:

Plan to Shift Bases Shakes Up Allies (Jamie Dettmer, Dec. 15, 2003, Insight)

The Bush team plans to put U.S. military assets in better position to take on threats. The Kremlin was quick off the mark. Within hours of Washington acknowledging in late November that it had begun formal negotiations to take over several Polish military bases, Russian Foreign Minister Igor Ivanov warned during a trip to Warsaw that any reconfiguration of the U.S. military presence in Europe must consider his country's national-security interests.

According to a Russian official, "The Kremlin is not concealing from the Americans or the Poles its negative attitude toward Polish-American discussions about relocating bases in Germany." But in the weeks to come the Russians won't be the only ones jittery about a long-touted repositioning of U.S. forces and bases. For different reasons allies and foes across the globe are exercised about ambitious Bush administration plans to shift and reshuffle tens of thousands of GIs posted around the world. [...]

But even before the Iraq War, Rumsfeld and his top aides were sketching out plans for realignment. For them too much of the U.S. global military posture was outdated and designed to fight an adversary that no longer was on the battlefield - namely, the Soviet Union. They wanted more forward, but smaller, bases and lighter and more mobile forces that could react quickly, be deployed fast against enemies and project power. Rumsfeld and his aides thought advanced U.S. military technology and air power would reduce the need for the kind of expensive and large foreign outposts required during the Cold War.

Since 9/11 the Pentagon hasn't confined itself to planning. Away from the public gaze, the United States has been securing air bases and landing rights and signing military agreements with a series of countries located in what military planners call the "arc of instability" - namely, troubled and failing nations in parts of Latin America, Africa, the Middle East, the Balkans and Central Asia. Military bases have been upgraded or established in Qatar, Kuwait, Oman, Bulgaria, Romania, Pakistan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, the Republic of Georgia, Djibouti and the Philippines. [...]

Some experts, though, worry that pulling U.S. assets out of "old Europe" might make the Germans and the French even more reluctant to agree to U.S. requests. On the other hand, say Pentagon hard-liners, what does it matter?


Compare this to the speeches Howard Dean and Hillary Clinton gave today, which envision allowing France, Germany, and the UN to more or less determine American foreign policy.

Posted by Orrin Judd at December 16, 2003 12:07 AM
Comments

A blogger posted an article recently (maybe even here, can't remember,) that one German city was making a presentation for our base to stay.

Posted by: Sandy P. at December 16, 2003 12:54 AM

Clinton blathers on about the need for international cooperation, but given her personality, does anyone think Hillary would listen to the leaders of any foreign nation if they didn't already agree with what she wanted (so that a terrorist attack during a Clinton adfmiinstration would be met by a midless lashing out by the United States, the way Osama thought Bush would react after 9/11 to enflame the Muslim world). Hostily tossing ashtrays at Bill in a blind rage would turn into hostily tossing missiles at al Qaida in a blind rage.

On the other hand, Dean really believes this stuff, and that's scarier. Better to have a vindictive madwoman to make your enemies fear you than a Carteresque wimp in the Oval Office who waits for Jacque Chirac's OK before defending American interests.

Posted by: John at December 16, 2003 8:20 AM

Why would anyone want to continue the Clintonesque incompetence that brought about 9/11 and the current crop of Dem pres candidates?

Posted by: NKR at December 16, 2003 11:53 AM

Why would anyone want to continue the Clintonesque incompetence that brought about 9/11 and the current crop of Dem pres candidates?

Posted by: NKR at December 16, 2003 11:53 AM

There is a fundamental truth being missed here, and that is that the spirit of international cooperation fostered by the U.S. after WWII was not simply in the best interests of the world, but in our own as well. This is because of the very simple principle that once the world is faced with a single superpower unilaterally imposing its will, for good or ill but inevitably at odds with at least some of the collective non-U.S. interests, there is the distinct danger that the rest of the world, or a goodly portion of it, will get together and oppose that superpower. This is one of the prime mechanisms behind the fall of great powers that preceded the U.S., notably the Hapsburg empire and France.

Policies of unilateral action will eventually come back to haunt us. The first rumblings have already occurred--an E.U. defense force, a rapprochement between Russia and China; these events may seem small, even pathetic in some cases, for now, but from little things...

John: G.W.B. is also known to have a sharp temper. Before applying amateurish armchair psychology to a woman you have never met, based solely on armchair psychology passed off as journalism that you have read, you might consider--for just a moment, mind you--the possibility that people other than conservative Republicans are capable of reining in their awful tempers and governing with temperance and thoughtfulness.

Posted by: M. Bulger at December 16, 2003 4:59 PM

M:

Yes, that's why the Euros were so much help in Korea, Vietnam, Cuba, Central America....oops, never mind.

Posted by: oj at December 16, 2003 5:04 PM

Just how is Europe going to "get together and oppose" the US? Their economies are in the crapper, they are facing a demographic population meltdown, and soon (2050??) will have a median age of 52.

Has *any* country in history fielded an army of 52 year-olds? Not to mention that their one goal inlife seems to be to retire at age 55.

Posted by: ray at December 16, 2003 6:49 PM

ray:

They're going to arm their Muslim immigrants and have them do the fighting...

Posted by: oj at December 16, 2003 6:54 PM

M --

True I've never met the missus, but from the tales told about her, not just by naturally hostile conservative Republicans but by people inside the White House such as George Stephonaupolus and Dick Morris (who admittedly plays both sides of the street), Hillary has a far more firey temper with her vindictiveness than Bush, who has taken the old Kennedy dictum "Don't get mad, get even" to heart.

I personally think Hillary has played the war on terror and the ouster of Saddam better than any other Democrat, when looking towards 2008 -- she has given the base enough anti-Bush rhetoric to keep all but the furthest left satisfied, but she's voted withg Bush on all the key issues, which IMHO is the smart play, since 80 percent of the people out there won't remember the 2003 jibes in 2008, but she will be able to run on her voting record. That said, the ancedotal refrences by White House lead me to believe that a terrorist attack on the United States during an HRC administration would be taken by HRC as a personal attack on HRC, and the reaction against the terrorists would be swift, but not very well calculated for the long term strategically. That's still better than a potential terrorist attack against the United States during a Howard Dean administration, which -- even though he also has a pretty good temper -- seems to reserve that anger for domestic opponents and would perfer foreign threats be handled through the United Nations and the World Court. Hillary might pay lip service to those two governmental bodies, but only after she made sure her poll numbers were back up.

Posted by: John at December 16, 2003 8:40 PM
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