March 27, 2003

JUST ONE BATTLE:

Bush's Grand Strategy: Iraq is one move in a bigger game. (Jeffrey Bell, 03/24/2003, Weekly Standard)
THE FOCUS for the past six months on obtaining United Nations approval for the invasion of Iraq has obscured a simple, logical American strategy based on a clear premise. The premise is that the mass civilian killings of 9/11 triggered a world war between the United States and a political wing of Islamic fundamentalism, sometimes called Islamism.

This world war would not be happening on the scale it is were it not the case that the rise of Islamism is part and parcel of a convulsive upheaval destabilizing the billion-member world of Islam as well as neighboring countries and--at least potentially--countries with Islamic minorities. In a war of such reach and magnitude, the invasion of Iraq, or the capture of top al Qaeda commanders, should be seen as tactical events in a series of moves and countermoves stretching well into the future.

If this premise is true, then just about everything the Bush administration is doing makes sense. So do the actions and announcements of our various adversaries and non-well-wishers in this far-flung war.

The most shocking thing about 9/11 was the willingness of Islamists to carry out indiscriminate mass killing of noncombatant Americans. The attacks that day laid bare the desire of our enemies to obtain weapons of mass destruction to inflict vastly greater destruction on our country and people.

The day after 9/11, there existed four deeply anti-American rogue states, clearly open to helping Islamists achieve the mass murder of Americans. They were Afghanistan, Iraq, Iran, and North Korea. The invasion of Afghanistan in late 2001 removed one of these four regimes. The coming invasion of Iraq will remove a second.

Is it any wonder that the two remaining anti-American rogue states are doing everything in their power to race toward clear-cut possession of nuclear weapons?


This is the big picture that the Democrats in particular have not processed yet. They think it's all over when Baghdad falls and they can get back to the prescription drug boondoggle. Posted by Orrin Judd at March 27, 2003 3:32 PM
Comments

I think you and the other hawk-Republicans have failed to realize how little interest there is in the US for widening this conflict beyond Iraq. We'll see.

Posted by: Charlie Murtaugh at March 28, 2003 6:26 AM

Charles:



Remember the Maine? Tonkin Gulf? etc.--it's easy enough to produce a provocation. especially with nuts like Kim Jong-il around.

Posted by: oj at March 28, 2003 7:34 AM

Regarding provocations, you all know the line from Citizen Kane: "You provide the prose poetry. I'll provide the war."



The problem is it's not 1898 any more. This is an Oprahfied nation, not the land of Teddy Roosevelt.



While we can provoke anyone we want, we may not have the national will to follow through once the blood starts to flow, even in drops. and certainly not in rivers.



Anyway, outstanding blog. Keep up the great work.

Posted by: George at March 28, 2003 9:34 AM
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