February 24, 2003
ME, ME, ME, MINE, MINE, MINE:
U.S. Approach on N. Korea Strains Alliances in Asia:The showdown over North Korea's nuclear weapons program is testing Washington's alliances with South Korea and Japan. (HOWARD W. FRENCH, 2/24/03, NY Times)With little of the clamor generated by preparations for war with Iraq, the showdown between the United States and North Korea over that country's nuclear weapons program is severely testing Washington's oldest Asian alliances.In recent weeks, senior officials in officially pacifist Japan have spoken of mounting a "pre-emptive strike" against North Korea, if it appeared that the heavily armed Communist state intended to use its ballistic missiles against Japan.
"Our nation will use military force as a self-defense measure if they start to resort to arms against Japan," said Defense Minister Shigeru Ishiba.
For many Japanese commentators, Mr. Ishiba's statement was meant to draw attention to the fact that Japan in reality has no strike ability. More than as a credible threat against North Korea, it was intended to influence a debate that has gathered momentum during the administration of Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi over giving the country's armed forces, which face sharp constitutional limits on their action, a larger role in the country's defense, and in making Japan a player in international security again.
When Secretary of State Colin L. Powell arrives here on Monday for the inauguration of Roh Moo Hyun as president of South Korea, he will try to narrow differences with a man whose response to tensions with North Korea has been virtually the opposite of Japan's and, if anything, even more radical.
Mr. Roh has given strong indications that he intends to accelerate South Korea's embrace of North Korea, even as the United States looks for ways to ratchet up pressure on North Korea.
To the dismay of Washington, Mr. Roh has spoken in recent weeks of establishing an economic community with North Korea, stepping up trade, aid and investment there, ruling out economic sanctions and military strikes against the country and even of personally "guaranteeing" North Korea's security.
The president-elect said he would replace the current armistice agreement with a treaty between the Koreas in order to ensure peace on the Korean Peninsula.
Nations almost always act in their own perceived interests--what's so strange about that? The more important question is why are people arguing that only the United States should not follow suit and act unilaterally? Posted by Orrin Judd at February 24, 2003 10:23 AM
Looks like Mr Roh's going try to kill Kim with kindness.
Well, good luck to him.
Mr. Roh's aid to North Korea may be just the pretext we need to withdraw troops from South Korea, freeing our hands to go to war with the North if necessary.
Posted by: pj at February 24, 2003 11:53 AMWhy not just give the Japanese the green light?
Posted by: oj at February 24, 2003 12:14 PMThe problem, and it is one, is certainly not the fault of the US. Japan and the ROK just have completely different ideas on how to deal with it. It's a problem for us because they're both allies. Nasty bit of business.
Posted by: John Thacker at February 24, 2003 1:26 PMPulling troops out of S. Korea is a bit premature. In fact, it strikes me as a little like "cutting one's nose off to spite one's face". I also think it might be the entirely wrong kind of signal to give the North (and not least those in the South that want the US to stay). If I had the power, I think I'd be very careful at poking the snake, if poking it might mean tens of thousands of lives lost. Let's wait and see what Mr. Roh does before doing anything stupid.
Cheers.
Alastair
Why not topple Kim and then withdraw?
Posted by: oj at February 24, 2003 10:13 PMI wouldn't withdraw troops from South Korea unless I were committed to going to war with North Korea and reuniting the Koreas . . . One reason to withdraw before the war is to get the US troops out of harm's way while we nuke the North.
Posted by: pj at February 25, 2003 8:55 AMConsider our troops and dependents in Korea as nuclear hostages. We need to pull them out or our options will be limited. We can always reintroduce them. The South Korean army is capable and we can assure supplying the flying hardware. We do need to ensure the S.K. army has more than adequate artillery on the ground. The withdrawal should be a gradual relocation to Guam and Okinawa and begun now. This may jolt Japan into increasing its military capability, which would be positive strategically.
Posted by: Genecis at February 25, 2003 10:49 AM