November 3, 2002
HOW BAD THE GUBERNATORIALS?:State poll puts Riley in front of Siegelman (TOM GORDON, 11/03/02, Birmingham News)
Republican Bob Riley has pulled ahead of incumbent Democrat Don Siegelman in the final days of their race for governor, according to a new statewide poll.
The survey of 600 registered voters who say they are likely to participate in Tuesday's election shows Riley leading Siegelman 47 percent to 39 percent. Eleven percent said they were undecided, and 3 percent said they would vote for Libertarian candidate John Sophocleus. The margin of error was 4 percentage points.
"Riley has pulled significantly ahead," said poll director Larry Powell. "He is poised to win the election."
The GOP is going to take some lumps in the governors' races on Tuesday (PA, MI, and IL look just gruesome), but in AL and SC they are looking likely to knock off incumbent Democrats, while in FL and TX they've opened up significant leads in races where Democrats hoped to embarrass the President. Meanwhile, there arequite a few races worth watching in solidly Democrat states--MA, MD, VT, MN, OR, and HI--all of which are still in play. Last, but certainly not least, there still seems to be almost no way that Bill Simon can win in CA, but it's also impossible to see how Gray Davis gets much over 50%. Perversely, the only thing stopping Bill Simon from winning this race is that not enough Republicans are supporting him.
Posted by Orrin Judd at November 3, 2002 12:16 PM