November 29, 2002

FAINT GLIMMERS OF HOPE:

Majority of Palestinians oppose attacks on Israel: Poll (Toronto Star, Nov. 29, 2002)
A majority of Palestinians want their police to crack down on militants attacking Israel — a shift that coincides with unprecedented criticism from a top Palestinian leader of two years of violence against Israel, according to a poll released yesterday.

The poll, by the Palestinian Centre for Policy and Survey Research, questioned 1,319 people in personal interviews from Nov. 14 to 22 and quoted a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
The poll shows Palestinians still strongly favour attacks against Israeli settlers and soldiers in the West Bank and Gaza — lands claimed by the Palestinians for their own state — but that 56 per cent favour steps by the Palestinian Authority to stop attacks in Israel.

And 76 per cent said they backed efforts to reach a mutual ceasefire, a sharp rise from the 48 per cent who supported an end to the violence just three months ago.

Earlier this week, a top-level Palestinian official Mahmoud Abbas said the uprising has been a disaster and has led to "complete destruction of everything we built.''


Remember just this past summer, when everyone was saying George W. Bush was an idiot for thinking mere political pressure could get the Palestinians to change their homicidal/suicidal ways? Posted by Orrin Judd at November 29, 2002 12:57 PM
Comments

I don't think this the tectonic shift you think it is. A poll appears in conjunction with an official making peaceful noises in the midst of an Israeli election: sounds more like tactical manuevering.



The general feeling, well before any of this began, was that Israel in her pre-1967 borders was a reality. It's always been the position of Arafat's organization to keep attacks limited to the settlements as well. This volume on these positions are being turned up more for the sake of boosting Mitzna than a reflection of changed reality.

Posted by: Derek Copold at November 29, 2002 4:29 PM

I don't think this the tectonic shift you think it is. A poll appears in conjunction with an official making peaceful noises in the midst of an Israeli election: sounds more like tactical manuevering.



The general feeling, well before any of this began, was that Israel in her pre-1967 borders was a reality. It's always been the position of Arafat's organization to keep attacks limited to the settlements as well. This volume on these positions are being turned up more for the sake of boosting Mitzna than a reflection of changed reality.

Posted by: Derek Copold at November 29, 2002 4:29 PM

Sorry about the double post.

Posted by: Derek Copold at November 29, 2002 4:30 PM

Even if we assume the poll wasn't cooked --

not an assumption I'd make -- why would

anybody expect it to be any more reliable

than a U.S. poll? And we know how much

those are worth.

Posted by: Harry at November 30, 2002 1:28 AM

"Mere political pressure" has been responsible for getting the "Palestinians to change their homicidal/suicidal ways"?



Orrin, are you in dreamland too?

According to your formulation, Bush was indeed an idiot.



And no, the "homicidal/suicidal ways?" are not changing (i.e., only the successes are publicized by the enlightened press, not the foilied attempts, which run anywhere from 10-20 for each success, of course why should these make the news?).



Nor is there any reason why they should change their ways (unless they run out of explosives and need to resupply).

Posted by: Barry Meislin at December 1, 2002 3:48 AM

Barry- I tried to make a similar point, that the Israeli attacks upon terrorists have done far more than American political pressure to get the Palestinians to change their minds. American support for Israel, however, has been important, it shows the Palestinians that the world is not on their side.

Posted by: pj at December 1, 2002 1:20 PM

Sounds good. Except for the small detail that that the Palestinians have not changed their minds.

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