May 9, 2021

KILLING THE GOLDEN GOOSE:

The risky logic behind China's economic strategy: 'Politics in command' (Dexter Tiff Roberts, 5/07/21, Atlantic Council)

A thermal imaging camera is seen in front of a logo of Ant Group at the headquarters of Ant Group, an affiliate of Alibaba, in Hangzhou, Zhejiang province, China, on October 29, 2020. Photo via Aly Song/Reuters.

In a marked shift from its once-sacrosanct policy of economic reform and market opening, China these days seems to be increasingly tightening the state's hand over business. Its government-controlled press is warning multinationals like Nike and United Airlines to keep silent over the situations in Xinjiang and the Taiwan Strait--or risk being pushed out of the market. Officials are pressuring the country's successful private companies to allow Chinese Communist Party (CCP) committees into their management and forcing them to bend to Beijing's diktats. As the regime comes to see these companies as a rising threat, it's becoming clear that we're entering a new era of Chinese state capitalism.

After Chinese regulators last year suddenly halted what would have been the world's largest stock offering, Ant Group's $37 billion IPO in Shanghai and  Hong Kong, Jack Ma, the founder of parent company Alibaba and China's best-known entrepreneur, vanished from the public eye and may be under orders to not leave the country. On April 9, Alibaba was slapped with a $2.8 billion anti-monopoly fine, the largest ever levied in the country, and Ma will likely be forced to sell his stake in Ant, possibly to a state-owned company.

All this is happening even as China's economy slows in the face of serious headwinds including an aging population and falling productivity--a time when most economists would argue China needs a vibrant, less-fettered business sector. And yet it appears that China's economy is being forced to take a backseat to politics, as exemplified by the Mao Zedong-era slogan "politics in command," or zhengzhi guashuai.

From the perspective of the country's leaders, however, all these moves are rational steps towards fulfilling their most important ambition: building China into a globally powerful and prosperous nation led by a Communist Party that brooks no opposition to its rule.  

Other than the powerful and prosperous bit. 

Posted by at May 9, 2021 5:51 PM

  

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