March 11, 2020

HAPPILY, THE rIGHT MISREAD 2016 IN EXACTLY THE SAME WAY:

Bernie's Whole Campaign Was Based On a Misreading of the 2016 Election (Jonathan Chait, 3/11/20, New York)

The second Sanders campaign has shown conclusively how badly the left misunderstood the electorate. It is not just that Sanders has failed to inspire anything like the upsurge in youth turnout he promised, or that he has failed to make meaningful headway with black voters. White working-class and rural voters have swung heavily against him. In Missouri and Michigan, those voters turned states he closely contested four years ago into routs for his opponent. Some rural counties have swung 30 points from Sanders 2016 to Biden 2020. The candidate in the race who has forged a transracial working-class coalition is, in fact, Joe Biden.

The factor that actually explains 2016, as some of us chagrined liberals insisted at the time, was Hillary Clinton's idiosyncratic personal unpopularity. 

Without Hillary as his opponent, Donald will need great good fortune to reach 42%.

Posted by at March 11, 2020 12:00 AM

  

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