February 19, 2020

ALL THE BATTLEGROUNDS ARE RED:

Exclusive: Ahead of 2020 election, a 'Blue Wave' is rising in the cities, polling analysis shows (Chris Kahn, 2/19/20, Reuters)

Even as Trump commands rock-solid support among Republicans, voters' interest in going to the polls appears to be growing faster among those who disapprove of Trump than among those who approve of him, according to experts who reviewed the data.

The advantage in urban political engagement extends deep into the most competitive battleground states that Trump won by razor-thin margins four years ago, the data shows.

In large urban areas of the upper Midwest, a region that includes swing states Michigan and Wisconsin, for example, the number of people who said they were "certain" to vote in the upcoming presidential election rose by 10 percentage points to 67% compared with survey responses from 2015.

In smaller upper Midwest communities, the number of people similarly dedicated to voting rose by only about 1 point to 60% in that same four-year period.

Overall, the number of "certain" voters rose by 7 percentage points nationally from 2015 to 2019. It increased by more than that in the largest metropolitan areas, rising by 9 points in communities with between 1 million and 5 million people and 8 points in metros with at least 5 million people.

Smaller and rural communities lagged behind. 

Posted by at February 19, 2020 8:20 AM

  

« NO ONE ACTUALLY BELIEVES HE'S THAT HONORABLE: | Main | A RELIGION, NOT A RACE: »