May 15, 2019

NO ONE BELIEVES IRAN IS A THREAT...:

Allies split with US over Iranian threat as war worries mount (AP, 5/15/19)

As tensions in the region started to surge, British Foreign Secretary Jeremy Hunt said his nation was worried about the risk of accidental conflict "with an escalation that is unintended really on either side." Then on Tuesday, Spain temporarily pulled one of its frigates from the US-led combat fleet heading toward the Strait of Hormuz. That was followed by the unusual public challenge to the Trump administration by the general.

"No, there's been no increased threat from Iranian-backed forces in Iraq and Syria," said Maj. Gen. Chris Ghika, a British senior officer in the US-backed coalition fighting the Islamic State group. Ghika, speaking in a video conference from coalition headquarters in Baghdad, told reporters at the Pentagon that the coalition monitors the presence of Iranian-backed forces "along with a whole range of others because that's the environment we're in."


...except opponents of democracy in the Middle East.  Iran and the US are jointly a threat to their hold on power.


MORE:
Skeptical U.S. Allies Resist Trump's New Claims of Threats From Iran (Helene Cooper and Edward Wong, May 14, 2019, NY Times)

One American official, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss confidential internal planning, said the new intelligence of an increased Iranian threat was "small stuff" and did not merit the military planning being driven by Mr. Bolton. The official also said the ultimate goal of the yearlong economic sanctions campaign by the Trump administration was to draw Iran into an armed conflict with the United States. [...]

Iraqi officials said they were skeptical of the American intelligence that Mr. Pompeo presented last week on a surprise trip to Baghdad. Mr. Pompeo said the threat was to American "facilities" and military personnel in Iraq. [...]

Some of the president's critics accept that Iran continues to engage in what United States officials call "malign behavior," be it in Yemen, Syria or the Palestinian territories. But they blamed the administration for aggravating the standoff with Tehran.

"This is a crisis that has entirely been manufactured by the Trump administration," said Vali R. Nasr, the dean of the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies.

He pointed to Mr. Trump's decision to pull out of the Iran nuclear deal in May 2018, coupled with the administration's failure to get any other nations to do so.

"None of the other signatories to the deal were persuaded by the case the U.S. was making," Mr. Nasr said. "And that is because this administration's policy on Iran, at a fundamental level, does not have credibility."

Posted by at May 15, 2019 12:00 AM

  

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