March 3, 2019

CANDY CANED:

CPAC: Blexit Is Real!: Another day with the best that Conservatism Inc. has to offer. (MOLLY JONG-FAST,  MARCH 2, 2019, The Bulwark)

After Beck it went to the (other) future of the Republican party, Candace Owens. Say what you want about her grasp of history, but Owen is actually a really compelling speaker. And because she's from Trumpworld she also sells merch with the "Blexit" logo on it.

The idea of Blexit is that African-American voters are about to leave the Democratic party in droves because, Trump. This seems . . . unlikely? If you take Trump's net approval rating--which is right now only -9 (that's very, very good for him) and slice and dice it across a whole bunch of cohorts, you see that among African-Americans he is a staggering -64.7.

I want to take a minute and put that into some perspective for you. Pick a group of people that you think are really, super-duper anti-Trump. Maybe people who live in cities? They're a net -29. Okay, maybe people with post-graduate degrees? They're -30. There is literally no other measurable demographic group that thinks as negatively about Trump as African-Americans.

But wait--there's more! The best part is that Trump's approval rating among African-Americans is actually dropping. In January of 2017 he was "only" -47. Since then he's dropped by another third. Which means that since Candace Owens started selling Blexit gear, African-American voters actually became even more anti-Trump than they already were.


Posted by at March 3, 2019 9:13 AM

  

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