February 22, 2019

NIKKI 2020:

Early Poll of New Hampshire Voters Shows Potential Problems for Trump a Year Out from 2020 Presidential Primary Season (Tatishe Nteta, 2/21/19, UMass )

Thirty-nine percent of likely Republican voters in the Granite State said they think that President Trump should be challenged in the 2020 primary, according to poll results released today by the UMass Poll.

"While nearly 40 percent of all likely Republican voters believe President Trump should face a primary challenge, almost half of college-educated Republican voters believe that Trump should be 'primaried,'" said Tatishe Nteta, associate professor of political science and director of the UMass Poll. "Given the comparatively higher levels of turnout among highly educated voters, these results do not bode well for Trump."

"The fact that a significant share of Republican primary voters supports a primary challenge to Trump reflects the reality that the president's divisive rhetoric and policies are alienating parts of the Republican coalition," said Jesse Rhodes, associate professor of political science and associate director of the UMass Poll. "Significantly, support for a primary challenge is strongest among younger and female voters, pointing to bigger problems for Trump and for the Republican Party. In a diversifying electorate, the GOP can ill afford to drive away members of these groups."

Posted by at February 22, 2019 12:01 AM