November 12, 2018

HOW'D THAT ANTI-IMMIGRANT CLOSING MESSAGE WORK OUT FOR YA?:

Trump Job Approval (Weekly) (Gallup, 11/12/18)



Republicans must learn from the election mistake on immigration (JORDAN BRUNEAU, 11/12/18, The Hill)

No one embodies this lesson better than Kris Kobach, the Republican candidate for governor in Kansas. Kobach is a longtime and vocal immigration critic. He is the architect of harsh anti-immigration legislation in Arizona and Alabama that courts have largely invalidated. He also headed up the quixotic and now disbanded White House voter fraud commission. He successfully primaried sitting Republican governor John Colyer with the backing of Trump. Yet he managed to handily lose his race last week in Kansas, a state that Trump won by 20 points two years ago.

Throughout the country, suburban districts filled with college educated and pro-immigration voters were the bulkhead upon which the blue wave crashed. South of Miami, Democrats picked up House seats held by Republican Carlos Curbelo and the outgoing Ileana Ros Lehtinen. West of Washington and east of Denver, incumbents Barbara Comstock and Mike Coffman lost by significant margins. In Texas, Pete Sessions and John Culberson lost in the Dallas and Houston suburbs. West of Chicago, Peter Roskam and Randy Hultgren lost in the suburbs as well.

Democrats flipped multiple suburban seats near Los Angeles, New York, Philadelphia, and Detroit. Incumbent Dave Brat lost his reelection bid in the Richmond suburbs. Even Mia Love and Keith Yoder in the conservative leaning Salt Lake City and Kansas City suburbs lost their seats. If 2016 was the election of the disaffected Democrats in the midwest, then 2018 was the revolt of the moderate Republicans across the suburbs.

Rather than engage in a positive campaign featuring tax cuts, wage increases, full employment, and 3 percent economic growth that would appeal to suburban voters, President Trump chose to campaign on the caravan, birthright citizenship, and homages to his unpopular family separation policy. Republican election ads suggested immigrants were violent criminals. Trump called it the "election of the caravan."

Despite what the comments section at the Daily Caller may suggest, there are not enough anti-immigrant voters to win close elections. 



Posted by at November 12, 2018 7:40 PM

  

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