February 3, 2018

ALL COMEDY IS CONSERVATIVE:

Even If the Nunes Memo Were True, So What? It Wouldn't Matter. (David Atkins, February 3, 2018, Washington Monthly)

[T]he one thing that keeps jumping out at me in all this is that it wouldn't even matter if all Nunes' claims were true and honestly argued. The underlying investigation is still completely valid, and no one's civil rights were violated. It's a point made very well at the Lawfare Blog:

To all of which, a reasonable person must ask: Huh? Indeed, if the above makes for difficult reading from which no particularly strong, let alone scandalous, narrative thread emerges, that's because the points recounted (assuming they are true) don't make out a coherent complaint.

To the extent that the complaint is that Page's civil liberties have been violated, the outraged are crying crocodile tears. For one thing, it is not at all clear that Page's civil liberties were, in fact, violated by the surveillance; the memo does not even purport to argue that the Justice Department lacked probable cause to support its warrant application. It does not suggest that Page was not, after all, an agent of a foreign power. What's more, the only clear violation of Page's civil liberties apparent here lies in the disclosure of the memo itself, which named him formally as a surveillance target and announced to the world at large that probable cause had been found to support his surveillance no fewer than four times by the court. Violating Page's civil liberties is a particularly strange way to complain about conduct that probably did not violate his civil liberties.

To the extent the complaint is that the FBI relied on a biased source in Steele, the FBI relies every day on information from far more dubious characters than former intelligence officers working for political parties. The FBI gets information from narco-traffickers, mobsters and terrorists. Surely it's not scandalous for it to get information from a Democrat--much less from a former British intelligence officer working for Democrats, even if he expresses dislike of a presidential candidate.

It's remarkable. Few want to go down the road of making this argument because it's much easier to point to the myriad inaccuracies in the memo. That makes sense, but ignoring the thrust of the memo's implication is a problem. Either the Republican argument is riotously funny, or it's deeply chilling-and it's hard to know which.

Nunes and crew are trying to maintain that if, say, a politically liberal FBI agent got information from a credible source who also happened to be politically liberal about potential criminal activity by a conservative target and obtained a surveillance warrant based on that information, then everything that came by way of that surveillance would be fruit of a rotten tree.

Ummm....what?

God bless Sean Hannity.

Devin Nunes's Nothingburger (Bret Stephens, 2/03/18, NY Times)

The important questions [...] are:

First, did the F.B.I. have solid reasons to suspect that people in Donald Trump's campaign had unusual, dangerous and possibly criminal ties to Moscow?

Second, did this suspicion warrant surveillance and investigation by the F.B.I.?

The answers are yes and yes, and nothing in the Nunes memo changes that -- except to provide the president with a misleading pretext to fire deputy attorney general Rod Rosenstein and discredit Robert Mueller's probe.

Let's review. Paul Manafort, the Trump campaign chairman until August 2016, is credibly alleged to have received $12.7 million in "undisclosed cash payments" from then-Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych, a Russian stooge. Had Manafort not been exposed, he might have gone on to occupy a position of trust in the Trump administration, much as Reagan campaign manager Bill Casey wound up running the C.I.A. He would then have been easy prey to Russian blackmail.

George Papadopoulos, the young adviser who pleaded guilty last year to lying to the F.B.I., spent his time on the campaign trying to make overtures to Russia. In May 2016 he blabbed to an Australian diplomat that Moscow had political dirt on Hillary Clinton -- information that proved true and was passed on to U.S. intelligence. This was the genesis of an F.B.I. counterintelligence investigation, as the Nunes memo itself admits.

And then there's Carter Page, the man at the center of the Nunes memo. By turns stupid (his Ph.D. thesis was twice rejected), self-important (he has compared himself to Martin Luther King Jr.), and money-hungry (a suspected Russian agent who tried to recruit him in 2013 was recorded saying he "got hooked on Gazprom"), Page happens also to be highly sympathetic to the Putin regime. The Russian phrase for such characters is polezni durak -- useful idiot. No wonder he was invited to give a commencement speech at a Russian university in the summer of 2016. That's how assets are cultivated in the world of intelligence.

Given the profile and his relative proximity to team Trump, it would have been professionally negligent of the F.B.I. not to keep tabs on him. 



Posted by at February 3, 2018 6:23 AM

  

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