March 9, 2017

NEVER MUCH OF A THREAT:

The Crumbling of ISIS (James Wimberley, March 8, 2017, Washington Monthly)

The self-proclaimed caliphate will be gone in a few months. It may survive as a non-territorial conspiracy, a low-budget and even more extreme rival to al-Qaeda. But they don't have the latter's funding, organization, or experience. The attraction of ISIS to alienated young radical Muslim men across the world depended crucially on the caliphate claim, not just to statehood but empire. This absolutely required control of territory. I would not put it past them to pull a Jonestown rather than submit to shameful surrender. Not many of their enemies will be ready to leave them alive.

The end of the fake caliphate will be a victory for Obama's proxy strategy, though Trump will surely claim it. In retrospect, it was bound to fail. A claim to universal dominion exercised by forced conversion, enslavement, and massacre of everybody in its reach cannot possibly work. 

Critics of the war failed to understand that the ideology of ISIS made it impossible for them to succeed.

Posted by at March 9, 2017 7:32 AM

  

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