January 15, 2017
A SIMPLE OVEREMPLOYMENT PROBLEM:
How Can Government Help Boost Productivity? (Oren Cass, 1/30/17, National Review Online)
Well W and the UR deserve credit for preventing a Depression, they did keep the recession from biting deeply enough to clear out bloated payrolls. It was like putting out a forest ire before it had a chance to clear out all the deadwood and trigger a full regeneration.Are unemployed workers a good thing? The math of productivity says yes: Every time a worker with below-average output per hour exits the work force, economy-wide output per hour increases. Ban low-wage work entirely and "productivity" would skyrocket. So would prices. Total output and standards of living, especially for lower-income households, would fall.Perhaps that seems a reductio ad absurdum, undermining a sound principle by taking it to a logical extreme -- except that, in his case for a national productivity strategy, Rob Atkinson embraces it: "The former CEO of McDonald's reported that, in response to the possibility that the minimum wage will be raised to $15 an hour, McDonald's began accelerating its deployment of self-serve kiosks and other automation technologies," he writes. "Wonderful! Fewer low-wage jobs."Is that "wonderful"? McDonald's can now serve the same number of customers with fewer hours of human labor. Perhaps the restaurant will replace four or five cashiers with a single IT technician and some expensive equipment. In the standard economic formulation, we have achieved "productivity growth."
Posted by Orrin Judd at January 15, 2017 8:41 AM
