November 13, 2016

A BETTER PARTY THAN HE DESERVED:

Despite his surprise victory, Trump still underperformed most Republican Senate candidates (Philip Bump, 11/09/16, Washington Post)


Trump still received a lower percentage of the vote than most Republican senators, but his victories in these states -- he won all but four -- meant that Republican Senate candidates could rely on support from their base.

It is the uniformity with which he underperformed the next tiers of the ticket that shows the race was just structural in the long run.  The models were right--it was a nearly unloseable race.
Posted by at November 13, 2016 5:57 PM

  

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