October 17, 2016

NEVER A THREAT:

In the battle for Mosul, Islamic State is its own worst enemy : The group's savagery and missteps - toward Muslims - have created discontent and weakened its grasp from within. With an ideology based on hate, IS can only implode. (The Monitor's Editorial Board OCTOBER 17, 2016, CS Monitor)

To be sure, IS has lost many of its battlefield commanders to targeted bombing by the United States inside the group's self-proclaimed caliphate covering parts of Iraq and Syria. Its oil sales, cash finances, and telecommunications have been disrupted.

Meanwhile, Iraqi military forces are far more unified and better trained since losing Mosul in 2014, when a previous government in Baghdad fiercely opposed the country's minority Sunnis, driving many to embrace IS.

Still, IS has proved to be its own worst enemy. Much of its appeal for young Muslims has been its radical display of savage violence and theological hatred, which, it turns out, has been directed at other Muslims, especially fellow Sunnis, who deviated from a strict code of behavior. As it has retreated from smaller cities in the face of advancing forces, IS has left behind evidence of mass killings of its own fighters and local residents.

In addition, reports from Mosul reveal that IS rulers have little organizational talent for managing the city's economy, further disillusioning followers on their ability to run a caliphate. And those who have fled Mosul say that strict social controls imposed by IS have also created resentment and, most of all, boredom in daily life.

Vitally, their theology requires not just that they establish a state and that they control certain areas, but that state must provide good governance.  Our military means they can never have a state.  Their lunacy means they impose regimes so harsh that Muslims won't accept them. And, deliciously, they lack the sort of effective bureaucracy that the West mastered centuries ago.

Posted by at October 17, 2016 6:36 PM

  

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