COME BACK, JEB!:

The 2016 presidential election was supposed to be close -- but Republicans should have had the edge.

An election forecast built by Vox and a team of political scientists projects that a generic Republican should win 50.9 percent of the two-party vote in 2016. But Donald Trump isn't a generic Republican -- and he is polling at 45.3 percent of the two-party vote, according to the Huffington Post Pollster. The difference between those numbers -- 5.6 points, as of today -- is what we're calling the Trump Tax: the electoral penalty Republicans appear to be paying for nominating Trump.

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