February 5, 2016

IT'S DOWN TO JEB OR JEB JR.:

The Way Ted Cruz Won in Iowa Suggests Trouble Ahead (Nate Cohn, FEB. 5, 2016, NY Times)

He won Iowa for one reason: He excelled among people who described themselves as "very conservative." They voted for him by a big margin; he won 44 percent of them to Donald Trump's 21 percent, according to exit polls. He lost every other ideological category, and often by a lot.

The national Republican primary electorate is far more moderate than Iowa's, so Mr. Cruz will need to attract a far broader coalition. The history of recent conservative Iowa winners -- like Rick Santorum and Mike Huckabee -- offers plenty of reasons to wonder whether he can count on doing so.

Posted by at February 5, 2016 9:10 PM

  

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