January 8, 2016

hISTORY eNDS EVERYWHERE:

North Korea is heading for a cataclysmic collapse -- and nobody cares (Pascal-Emmanuel Gobry, January 7, 2016, The Week)

The regime cannot go on indefinitely. It is astonishingly corrupt and criminal. Even if it wanted to, it probably couldn't manage a China-style policy of opening up its economy to raise people's standards of living while maintaining an authoritarian government to prevent societal collapse. The technocratic know-how simply isn't there. And the only thing holding the regime together is absolute fear, and the total brain-washing of the population -- brainwashing which is slowly dissolving as, inevitably, mobile phones and media, including Bibles, seep into the country.

When it does eventually collapse, it will be a humanitarian disaster on a scale perhaps not seen since World War II. North Korea's people are famished. To say that alcoholism is rampant is an understatement.

Millions of refugees will stream over the borders. On one side, there's China and Russia, who aren't exactly global models of efficiency and humanitarianism. South Korea is a highly-advanced economy -- indeed, in some areas, more advanced than the U.S. -- but it's still a small nation ill-prepared to cope with the collapse of its similar-sized neighbor.

The fall will be a humanitarian disaster, but it will also be a security nightmare. 

Posted by at January 8, 2016 6:29 PM

  

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