January 6, 2016

CITIES WERE A MISTAKE:

Where American Families Are Moving (Joel Kotkin, January 06, 2016, New Geography)

[S]ince 2011, less-dense ZIP codes have been growing far faster than the more dense ones.

The desire for affordable, single-family homes is driving this trend. Over 80 percent of married couples live in such housing, compared to barely 50 percent of households of unrelated individuals and single. The choice to move to the suburbs also reflects the preference for a safer setting. FBI crime statistics show the violent crime rate in the core cities of major metropolitan areas is nearly 3½ times higher than in the suburbs. Given the murder rate in many major cities, this gap can be expected to grow.

Another key motivation in choosing the suburbs, especially for families with children, is frustration with the quality of urban public education. Suburban schools still consistently out-perform those of inner cities in terms of achievement, graduation and college admission.

In the coming years the progressive penchant for enforced densification--contrary to the preferences of most Americans--could cause some serious intra-party rifts, even in areas that today are reliably Democratic "blue." The biggest opposition to building more single family housing has often been in liberal bastions such as Marin County, Calif., Boulder, Colo., and Westchester County, N.Y., the official residence of Hillary and Bill Clinton after they left the White House. As one Bay Area blogger observed, "suburb-hating is anti-child"--because it seeks to undermine neighborhoods with children.

Posted by at January 6, 2016 5:51 PM

  

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