October 23, 2015

IT'D BE NICE IF THEY GOT TO 1776:

This Year's Patriots Are Almost On Pace To Be The G.O.A.T. (NEIL PAINE, 10/23/15, 538)

We can measure this using Elo ratings, one of our favorite metrics for ranking football teams. You can read the fine details of how they work here, but in a nutshell, Elo assigns each team a strength rating based on how likely it thinks that team is to win games in the future. The ratings are simple -- their only inputs are the score, strength of opponent and location of each game -- but they're also predictive and self-correcting, so a team's strength estimate is constantly evolving.

And in the case of the 2015 Patriots, that rating is ridiculously good. Through the first six weeks of an NFL season,2 only three teams have ever possessed a higher Elo rating than New England's current mark of  1736:

Posted by at October 23, 2015 11:14 AM
  

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TEAMYEARRECORDELO AFTER 6 WEEKS
1Chicago Bears19866-01756
2Chicago Bears19426-01751
3New England Patriots20076-01748
4New England Patriots20155-01736
5San Francisco 49ers19905-01734
6Green Bay Packers20116-01728
7Denver Broncos19986-01724
8Chicago Bears19435-0-11718
9Pittsburgh Steelers19795-11717
10Dallas Cowboys19944-11716
11Miami Dolphins19735-11714
12New England Patriots20045-01714
13Canton Bulldogs19236-01714
14Green Bay Packers19635-11713
15Philadelphia Eagles19505-11711
16Miami Dolphins19846-01709
17Green Bay Packers19306-01708
18Minnesota Vikings19705-11707
19Green Bay Packers19626-01702
20Chicago Bears19346-01698
21Chicago Bears19415-11698