October 31, 2015
HIS "IDEAL OUTCOME" IS ACTUALLY OURS:
What a Russian 'win' in Syria would look like (Josh Cohen, October 28, 2015, Reuters)
Here's how Putin might achieve his ideal outcome in Syria.To start, a key strength of Russia's Syrian military strategy is its simplicity. Today the Russian bombing campaign seeks only to stabilize the Syrian regime's lines around the key corridor running north from Damascus through Homs and Hama. This approach provides breathing space for Assad, and allows his regime to implement its long-mooted Plan B -- a rump state centered on the Alawite heartland along the Mediterranean coast. While it's unclear whether the Assad regime can re-conquer large portions of Syria, the rebels are now on the defensive and the regime has stopped losing crucial pieces of territory.
Of course, this ends the problem of minority rule in Syria and leaves Russia alone fighting ISIS to try and protect its client. His ideal outcome is catastrophic.
Posted by Orrin Judd at October 31, 2015 10:31 AM
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