July 29, 2015

RUDY GUILIANI DOWN TO THE HAIR:

Donald Trump Is The Nickelback Of GOP Candidates (NATE SILVER, 7/29/15, 538)

Despite what you may have read elsewhere -- or heard from the man himself -- Donald Trump is not all that popular with Republican voters. Sure, he's in first place in many polls. But Trump is near the back of the pack by another important measure.

In the chart below, I've taken an average of favorability ratings from seven polls of Republican voters that were conducted wholly or partly after Trump made his comments about John McCain on July 18. They include national polls from CNN, Public Policy Polling and YouGov, along with polls of Iowa and New Hampshire from each of Marist College and Monmouth University.


silver-feature-trumpnew-table

On average in these polls, Trump's favorability ratings among Republicans are barely better than break-even: 47 percent favorable and 43 percent unfavorable. Among the 17 Republican candidates, Trump's net favorable rating, +4, ranks 13th, ahead of only Chris Christie, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham and George Pataki.

Posted by at July 29, 2015 8:13 PM
  

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