ALL ANGLOSPHERIC POLITICS IS THE SAME:

THE official British election exit poll has not been badly wrong for a long time. Today, as on previous general election days, a consortium of pollsters spoke to over 20,000 voters outside polling stations around the country and asked them how they had voted--an enormous sample based, unlike pre-election polls, on reported behaviour, not voters' intentions. Yet what they discovered defies all the opinion polling that took place before today's general election. No recent, mainstream projection had put the governing Conservative Party on much above 290 seats. But the exit poll says David Cameron's lot will hit 316, up by 10 from 2010. It puts Labour, which had looked on track to take some 270 seats, on a mere 239. The separatist Scottish National Party (SNP) have taken all but one seats in north of the border, it suggests. And it indicates Liberal Democrats have crumpled more dramatically than anyone had expected, seeing their seat-count fall from 57 in 2010 to ten.

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