November 24, 2014

THAT MUCH OF THE DEAL THEY'VE ALREADY ACCEPTED:

Why Won't Iran Take a Favorable Deal? (Max Boot, 11.24.2014, Commentary)

It would surely be in Iran's interests to sign such a deal in which the mullahs would pledge to stop operating some of their 19,000 centrifuges (10,000 of them are currently operational) and in return they would receive billions of dollars in sanctions relief that would save the Iranian economy from ruin-and save Iran's theocratic dictators from being overthrown by their increasingly disgruntled people. And then, having signed the accord, Iran could proceed quietly and secretly to cheat, perhaps by building a plutonium-based bomb enabled by their new heavy water facility at Arak. [...]

Iran has had a full year to conclude such a favorable deal and yet it refuses to close the deal. Why not? And what will change in the next seven months?

My theory-and I admit it's only a theory-is that Ayatollah Khamenei simply can't swallow doing any deal with the Great Satan, no matter how favorable, because to do so would undercut the revolutionary legitimacy of his regime. Ever since the Iran Hostage Crisis of 1979, Iran's theocratic regime has defined itself in opposition to the United States. Thanks in no small measure to Obama's lack of response, Tehran is closer than ever to realizing its ambitions to dominate the entire region stretching to the Mediterranean-including Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon. Oh, and Iran is also advancing in Yemen. Perhaps Khamenei simply can't stomach the thought of reaching any kind of accommodation with the United States because it would hobble Iran's offensive abroad and undermine his own claim to rule at home.

It's even simpler than that : they don't want to abase themselves by explaining the nuclear program in the fashion thatr is being demanded and they don't trust us to lift the sanctions speedily.

Posted by at November 24, 2014 1:22 PM
  

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