November 21, 2014

ADDING TO THE OBAMA TRADE LEGACY:

Iran nuclear deal could spur rapid growth (John Defterios, November 21, 2014, CNN/Money)

When he was at Goldman Sachs, emerging market strategist and author Jim O'Neill had Iran on his list of "Next 11" countries -- those offering the best opportunities for sustainable growth.

Iran's energy sector has been starved of technological know how. A return to the fold could change all that, and the potential is enormous. "The Iranian gas production can explode," said Fereidun Fesharaki, chairman of FACTS Global Energy. "It can supply huge amounts of gas and that gas has not been developed."

Iran sits on 33 trillion cubic meters of natural gas, or 18% of global reserves, according to the 2014 BP (BP) World Energy Report. With its giant South Pars field, Iran ranks number one in the world ahead of Russia and Qatar.

There's plenty of oil too. Iran has the second largest proven reserves in the Middle East, behind only Saudi Arabia. At 157 billion barrels, those reserves account for more than 9% of the global total.

Sanctions have done major damage. Iran's gross domestic product has shrunk by a quarter over the past three years. But at $1.2 trillion, it's still the world's 18th largest economy.

Investment strategists say allowing Iran's banks to trade in dollars again would give the economy a huge shot in the arm.

"The growth potential is enormous because you have had an economy which, to a great extent for the past 35 years, has been cut off from the world," said Eddie Kerman, board member at Turquoise Partners, an investment firm based in Tehran.

"That's been particularly the case for the past seven years [in banking]," he said.

Posted by at November 21, 2014 1:19 PM
  

blog comments powered by Disqus
« BUT THEIR BLOOD IS PURE!: | Main | GUYS WHO'VE GOVERNED: »