October 28, 2014


Lots of Americans don't trust either party to do much of anything. They are voting for Republicans. (Philip Bump, October 28, 2014, Washington Post)
If you ask American adults which party they trust more to handle the country's problems, Democrats do better by a two-point margin. (Which is within the margin of error.) Narrow that down to registered voters, and it's even, 39 percent to 39 percent, with 3 percent saying "both" and 13 percent saying "neither." Narrow that down again to people likely to vote next Tuesday, and RNC Chairman Reince Priebus starts doing a little jig: 42 percent of likely voters trust the Republicans more, while 37 percent trust the Democrats.

Go another level deeper, and that jig turns into the Macarena, or whatever dance comes naturally to older dudes at wedding receptions. (Editor's note: As an "older dude," I am a big fan of the Electric Slide.) Of the 13 percent of likely voters who don't trust either political party, more than half plan to vote Republican.

The Shocking Number in ABC/WaPo Final Survey (Ed Kilgore, 10/28/14, Washington Monthly)

So today's buzzkill for progressives was the (presumably) final ABC/WaPo national survey prior to next Tuesday's elections, which shows "the fundamentals" driving a big Republican advantage: [...]

[T]he most shocking finding is this one:

When asked whether they will vote for the Democrat or the Republican for the House in their districts, 50 percent of likely voters say Republican and 44 percent say Democrat. Among the larger universe of registered voters, Democrats have an edge -- 47 percent to 44 percent. That swing of nine points between registered and likely voters is identical to the difference recorded at this point in 2010.

Posted by at October 28, 2014 1:14 PM

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