October 31, 2014

A LITTLE KREMLINOLOGY:

An Iranian who could balance Tehran's factions? (David Ignatius Opinion writer October 30, 2014, Washington Post)

"He is a person in the middle," with close links to both President Hassan Rouhani and Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, says Hossein Mousavian, a former Iranian official who teaches at Princeton University and knows the leadership well. "Shamkhani can play an influential role in managing the crisis in the Arab world," he argues, in part because he is from an Arabic-speaking region of southern Iran. [...]

Shamkhani's rise is noteworthy because he appears to bridge the radical and moderate camps at a time when opinion in Iran is divided about a nuclear deal. Khamenei will have to bless any agreement made by Rouhani and Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif.

"In contrast to Iranian foreign ministry officials, Shamkhani is a former Revolutionary Guard [IRGC] commander who has the clout to challenge his former comrades," says Karim Sadjadpour, a leading Iran expert at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. A European intelligence official agrees that Shamkhani may be "an honest broker" between Rouhani and Khamenei.

"Since this summer, Shamkhani has taken on a more prominent role in Iranian regional policy, especially in Iraq, which previously was the exclusive purview of the IRGC Quds Force commander, Qassem Suleimani ," explains a U.S. official who follows Iranian events closely.

Posted by at October 31, 2014 6:41 PM
  

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