August 2, 2014

THE SAD THING IS THEY'LL HAVE THE MAJORITIES TO DO CONSTRUCTIVE WORK:

The Coming Democratic Midterm Collapse : History tells us the "six-year itch" is a very real thing, and there's little Obama's Democrats can do to stave off a big loss this November. (Michael Barrone, 8/02/14, Daily Beast)

Time has been cruel to many once-revered political assertions. No, all politics is not local. No, the road to the White House does not lead through New Hampshire. The "solid South" hasn't been a solid Democratic redoubt since 1944; "rock ribbed Republican" New England has yielded a grand total of four electoral votes for the GOP in the last six Presidential elections.

If you're looking for a truism that remains true, then reach out and grasp this one: the "six year curse." With one (highly instructive) exception, the party that holds the White House will lose Congressional seats in the six-year midterms. It happened to Teddy Roosevelt and Franklin Roosevelt; it happened to Ike and LBJ and Reagan. It will almost surely happen to Barack Obama this November.

Why? There is no single reason; there are, rather, different forces, any one of which can afflict the party that's held the White House for six years. What makes this November so daunting for Democrats is that almost all of them are at work this time.

Posted by at August 2, 2014 9:19 AM
  
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