June 9, 2014
THERE IS NO IRAQ:
'Iraqi Kurds close to declaring independence' (ARIEL BEN SOLOMON, 06/09/2014 , Jerusalem Post)
Posted by Orrin Judd at June 9, 2014 8:28 PM"There are three scenarios for such a declaration: When the American administration changes; before [Iraqi Kurdistan] President Masoud Barzani leaves office in less than two years' time, as he might like to be remembered as the builder of Kurdistan; and finally if relations with Baghdad deteriorate further," explained Bengio, a senior research fellow at the Moshe Dayan Center for Middle Eastern and African Studies at Tel Aviv University.Asked if the Iraqi Kurds would be more likely to declare independence if their efforts to export oil independently via Turkey become constant and sustainable, Bengio responded that "the main obstacle for separation is the economic dependence of Erbil [the region's capital] on Baghdad. If Erbil manages to export oil and gas independently of Baghdad it will make such a move much more plausible."