February 18, 2014

IT'S THE RELIGIOUS PARTY:

Jeb Bush Heading To NYC To Test Bush v. Clinton (IRA STOLL, February 18, 2014, NY Sun)

Start with his home state, Florida, where Mr. Bush won statewide elections in 1998 and in 2002. The presidential candidate who won Florida has won the general election in 12 of the last 13 presidential elections (the sole exception to this rule over the 48 years from 1964 to 2012 was 1992, when Bill Clinton lost the state but won the presidency).

Then consider the demographic appeal. Polls indicated that Mr. Bush won majorities of Florida's Hispanic vote in both of his gubernatorial elections. He's Catholic, and his wife was born in Mexico. If he picks a Hispanic running mate such as Senator Marco Rubio of Florida, Governor Brian Sandoval of Nevada, or Susana Martinez of New Mexico, he has a shot at significantly narrowing the Democratic advantage among Latinos, who are ten percent of the electorate nationwide. That could help put not only Florida but also Colorado, Nevada, and New Mexico in the Republican column in 2016.

Mr. Bush did a solid job as governor of Florida, cutting the state's already-relatively-low taxes, restraining spending, and reforming public education with a voucher program. And if the Republican Party's establishment wing, to the extent that there is such a thing, is looking for a known quantity to fend off firebrand newcomers with their own presidential ambitions such as Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky or Senator Ted Cruz of Texas, Mr. Bush probably fits the bill as well as anyone.
Posted by at February 18, 2014 6:30 PM
  
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