July 8, 2013

IT'S ABOUT DECENCY, NOT POLITICS:

2016 forecast: Rubio, Bush, Ryan have chance to win over 40% of Latino vote (Matt Barreto, 07/02/2013, Latino Decisions)

A new poll from Latino Decisions, on behalf of America's Voice found Latino presidential voters are paying very close attention to the immigration debates in Washington D.C. and are evaluating the candidates by their words and actions on immigration reform.  Half of the respondents were read a prompt about Rubio working to pass immigration reform:

"Currently the U.S. Congress is debating a comprehensive immigration reform bill that would provide a pathway to citizenship for undocumented immigrants in the United States. Republican Marco Rubio played a key role in helping to pass this bill and with Rubio's leadership undocumented immigrants receive legal status and a path to citizenship."

Respondents were then asked how likely they would be to vote for Rubio in the 2016 presidential election.  54% of Latino voters said they were likely to vote for Rubio, including 50% of Latinos who voted for Obama in 2012, 46% of Latino Independents, and 55% of Latino voters age 18-34.  However, absent any prompting about Rubio working to ensure a final bill is passed, he failed to even reach the 30% support mark among Latinos.

Likewise, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush stands to gain if he leans in on the immigration debate and convinces fellow Republicans to pass the bill with a path to citizenship.  When respondents were read a prompt about Bush's support for the immigration bill with a path to citizenship 47% of Latino voters said they were likely to vote for Bush in 2016, including 42% of those who just cast a ballot for Obama in 2012.

Posted by at July 8, 2013 5:26 AM
  

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