June 14, 2013

SMAUG'S DESOLATION:

Geography and World Politics (Colin Dueck,  June 12, 2013, Claremont Review of Books)

China is in a position to challenge the U.S. for predominance along the East Asian littoral, and has considerable interest in doing so, especially given its grinding sense of historical grievance. For many Chinese, to achieve such predominance would be a return to the natural order of things, in which the Middle Kingdom leads within East Asia. The Russians, for their part, share with China a long-term desire to expel American influence from their immediate spheres of influence. The most persuasive accounts of Sino-Russian cooperation tend to suggest it is opportunistic and pragmatic. Still, from an American point of view, this is not exactly reassuring. If these two massive, authoritarian powers are able to cooperate pragmatically and case by case against American interests, the U.S. will face a severe geopolitical challenge in much of Eurasia. When Rimland powers are able to secure their land borders, as China seems to be doing, and then convincingly take to the seas, this has to worry offshore powers like the United States. [...]

One of the explanations for the lack of grand strategy toward China today is the tacit and widespread assumption that American power is in relative and irreversible decline, while China's rise is more or less ordained. 

In the first place, China and Russia can't co-operate against the US, because they have competing, not common interests, and lack the hard, but more importantly, the soft, power to challenge us.  No one in Eurasia seeks to emulate the PRC/Putin model.  All seek to imitate the Anglosphere. Burma being just the clearest current example. 

Second, simply reverse that last sentence and you have the truth of the whole matter:

One of the explanations for the lack of grand strategy toward China today is the tacit and widespread assumption that Chinese power is in relative and irreversible decline, while America's rise is more or less ordained. 

The PRC has no future, ours is ever brighter.


Posted by at June 14, 2013 7:24 PM
  

blog comments powered by Disqus
« FUNNY SORT OF TOTALITARIANISM: | Main | THE FROGS HAVING PRE-SURRENDERED: »