October 12, 2012

AND JUST WAIT UNTIL UNIVERSAL IMMIGRATION AMNESTY GETS PUT IN PLACE:

A new housing boom (Chris Isidore, 10/12/12, CNNMoney)

Barclays Capital put out a report recently forecasting that home prices, which fell by more than a third after the housing bubble burst in 2007, could be back to peak levels as soon as 2015.

"In our view, the housing market had undergone a dramatic over-correction during the prior five years, resulting in pent-up demand for housing purchases that would spark a rapid rise in housing starts," said Stephen Kim, an analyst with Barclays, in a note to clients.

In addition to what Kim sees as a big rebound in building, he's bullish on home prices, expecting rises of 5% to 7.5% a year.

Construction is expected to be even stronger, with numerous experts forecasting home construction to grow by at least 20% a year for each of the next two years. Some believe building could be back near the pre-bubble average of about 1.5 million new homes a year by 2016, about double the 750,000 homes expected this year.

"We think the recovery is for real this time around," said Rick Palacios, senior analyst with John Burns Real Estate Consulting. "If you look across the U.S. economy right now, there are only a handful of industries looking at 20-30% growth over the next 4-5 years, and housing is one of those."

The actual crisis is our shortage of housing stock vis-a-vis our demographics, which is why the credit crunch would not have occurred absent derivative fraud. 

Posted by at October 12, 2012 4:11 PM
  

blog comments powered by Disqus
« FRAUD-R-US: | Main | MOMMY, WHY DOES JOE BIDEN HATE PUPPIES?: »