July 23, 2012

"INCREASINGLY REMOTE":

In Fight for the House, the Trajectory Is Clear (Stuart Rothenberg, 7/19/12, Roll Call)

House races often don't start getting attention until after Labor Day. But with the presidential contest sucking the air out of the political environment and defining the electoral landscape, House candidates may find they have an even harder time than usual defining themselves and their opponents.

That means the existing trajectory of the fight for the House may be harder and harder to change as Labor Day approaches, creating a growing problem for House Democrats who continue to insist that the House is "in play."

Democratic strategists need a dramatic shift in the House playing field if they are going to have any chance of netting the 25 seats they need to regain a majority in the House of Representatives. And that outcome looks increasingly remote.

Posted by at July 23, 2012 5:51 AM
  

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