April 30, 2012

WHERE IS THE PRESIDENT WHO WILL GO TO WESTMINSTER...:

The Great China Crackup? (DAN BLUMENTHAL, 4/29/12, Weekly Standard)

The leadership is reeling from the revelations of the Bo case, and the great wall of silence protecting the Standing Committee is breaking. Chinese leaders were secure as long as no one revealed how the game works or if they played it together. Now they are divided, and are in a trap. They can keep making payoffs for loyalty, to the security services or to the military, but the public knows how corrupt the system is, and many more people are in a position to describe the payoffs. 

Chen's move was strategically timed. His case to Chinese and Westerners will be, "look what happens when rights are not protected." Chinese leaders steal, even kill. He can try to use patriotic terms: When Bo's deputy Wang Lijun sought help, the only institution he could trust was the U.S. consulate. He was unsafe outside the hands of the Americans. This fact is a huge embarrassment for the Chinese leadership. Wang had to go to America, figuratively, to get help. The same is true with Chen. For the Chinese, it is apparent that they are having trouble sorting out their own affairs or running their own country.

These unfolding events have major implications for Sino-American relations during the week of Strategic Economic Dialogue summit. The machinery of U.S.-China policy is set on a very linear path - based on a China that will hold together, that is always rising, and that can make important decisions and stick to them. But the Chinese themselves are showing this China to be more of a reassuring fantasy than reality.

...and explain to the Chinese: that the PRC has failed on its own terms;  Tibet, Uighurstan, Hong Kong, etc. will all be free nations; and their demographics and lack of culture mean that their economic problems are insurmountable without massive reform?

 
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Posted by at April 30, 2012 5:44 AM
  

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