March 30, 2012

STRAWBERRY QUIK IS A SURER BET:

Mega Millions Winning Strategies Not In Your Favor, Say Mathematicians (Susanna Kim, 03/29/2012, ABC NEWS)

Bruce Sacerdote, economics professor at Dartmouth College, studied the effects of lottery winnings from Massachusetts winners in the 1980s.

When asked why people are obsessed with the lottery, Sacerdote said, "for certain small bets we are 'risk loving.' That is to say we are willing to make a poor expected value bet for the chance to have an enormous 'transformative' gain."

Based on the survey, "we don't find that winning the lottery makes people miserable or destroys their lives in the long run. In fact, many people continue working after winning the lottery."

Several years after winning big prizes about 40 percent of winners are still working. People save about 16 percent of their gross winnings, on average. For each $100,000 won per year, people reduce labor market earnings by $11,000.

"People actually get utility from dreaming about what they would do with the money," Sacerdote said. "And again, actually getting the money does not make them unhappy."

Posted by at March 30, 2012 3:57 PM
  

blog comments powered by Disqus
« | Main | "UNTIL THE LAST DOG GETS CANCER!": »