March 8, 2012

MAKE THAT, PRESIDENT ROMNEY:

Obama Approval Averages 45% in February: Forty-seven percent disapproving mirrors the 50% calling his presidency a "failure" (Lydia Saad, 3/07/12, Gallup)

The 50% approval mark is a crucial one for presidents in a re-election year. All incumbents who have been elected to a second term had a 50% or higher average approval rating by February of that year, and in the case of all but George W. Bush, they maintained that through Election Day.

Whether Obama can break out of this inauspicious pattern in an election year remains to be seen. But it is noteworthy that no elected president from Dwight Eisenhower through George W. Bush saw his approval rating drop below 50% for this long leading up to his re-election year. Rather, all seven presidents -- including Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush, both of whom lost their re-election bids -- received at least 50% approval at some point late in their third year or early in their fourth year, if not routinely throughout their first term.

Posted by at March 8, 2012 5:38 PM
  

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