February 26, 2012

LET'S START OVER, ADD "NONE OF THE ABOVE" TO THE BALLOTS...:

Republican Race's Volatility is Historic (Alex Roarty, February 23, 2012, National Journal)

I wrote in October, when Cain's campaign was at its peak and before Gingrich's and Santorum's rise, how the contest had already seen the most upheaval since 1964. That year, four different people - Nelson Rockefeller, Richard Nixon, Henry Cabot Lodge and Barry Goldwater -- were leading the race in at least one poll. A fifth man, William Scranton, surged to within a point of the lead two weeks before the party's convention. 

But now, after the volatility of the last four months, even the '64 race seems tame in comparison. The fact of seven front-runners doesn't quite capture all of the movement in the polls: It doesn't include Michele Bachmann's temporary status as the Iowa front-runner or that Gingrich and Santorum both fluctuated between contender and also-ran twice. Or that Romney has oscillated between front-runner and underdog nearly every month for the last six months. 

Polling data supplied by Gallup dating back to 1930 shows that no other race since that time has even come close to the same level of volatility.

...and let the Convention decide.


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Posted by orrinj at February 26, 2012 7:47 AM
  
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