February 1, 2012

IT'S AN OFFENSIVE LEAGUE:

The Big Game's Best D ... Isn't Good (Carl Bialik, 2/01/12, WSJ)

[B]y three prominent objective measures, which adjust for opponent strength, more than half of the NFL was better than the Giants and Pats at stopping opposing offenses.

Advanced NFL Stats and Football Outsiders, two outfits that rank teams by how well they do in given down-and-distance situations against opposing offenses of a certain quality, are not impressed in the least by the defensive sides of the 2011-2012 conference champs. Advanced NFL Stats ranks the Pats 27th out of 32 teams in terms of points they'd be expected to have allowed, based on their performance. The Giants aren't much better, at 24th in the NFL. At Football Outsiders, the Giants rank 20th in Defense-adjusted Value Over Average, while the Pats are a dismal 30th.

Meanwhile, Pro Football Reference's Simple Rating System -- which accounts only for points scored and allowed, and opponent strength in those characteristics -- has the Pats tied for 17th and the Giants in 23rd. By SRS, the Pats yielded 0.1 point more per game than the average team would have against its schedule, while the Giants yielded 1.5 points more per game.

Posted by at February 1, 2012 7:20 PM
  

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