THEY'RE ENGLISH, NOT EUROPEAN:

What lies behind the Tories' poll bounce? (George Eaton, 14 December 2011, New Statesman)

Suddenly, after remaining static for months, the polls are moving again. The latest Reuters/Ipsos-MORI survey, carried out after the EU summit, puts the Tories in the lead for the first time this year, with support for Cameron's party rising seven points to 41 per cent and support for Labour falling two points to 39 per cent. Similarly, the latest daily YouGov poll has the Tories two points ahead of Labour, the first time they've led with that pollster since December 2010. Labour's lead, which has stood at five to six points for the last month, has evaporated.

Of course, correlation does not equal causation, but it certainly seems as if Cameron's EU stance has benefited his party.

Related articles

• Attacked by Opposition, Celebrated by Conservatives: Concerns Mount as Cameron Stands Firm (spiegel.de)
• A poll bounce with consequences (bbc.co.uk)

Posted by Orrin Judd at December 14, 2011 6:32 AM
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