December 28, 2011
THANKS, W:
From the Fed, a Shield Against Europe (TYLER COWEN, 12/24/11, NY Times)
The Federal Reserve took the lead on future capital requirements just last week, but for the shorter run there is a more important Fed policy move. Starting in late 2008, as a response to our financial crisis, the Fed bought government and mortgage securities from banks on a very large scale.Bank reserves at the Fed rose from virtually nothing to more than $1.6 trillion. Then the Fed paid interest on those reserves to help keep them on bank balance sheets.It is estimated by Moody's that America's biggest banks now have liquid assets that are 3 to 11 times their short-term borrowings. In other words, it's the cushion we've been seeking. Furthermore, a lot of those reserves sit in the American subsidiaries of large foreign-owned banks, protecting the European system, too.This new safety comes not from regulatory micromanagement but rather from the creation of additional safe interest-bearing assets. While European economies have been losing safe assets through debt downgrades, the United States financial system has been gaining them.THE Fed's stockpiled liquid reserves have met some heavy criticism. Hard-money advocates contend that they are a prelude to hyperinflation -- although market forecasts and bond yields don't bear this out -- while proponents of monetary expansion have wished that banks would more actively lend out those reserves to stimulate the economy. That second view assumes that the financial crisis is essentially over, but maybe it's not. As the euro zone crisis continues, it seems that Ben S. Bernanke has been a smarter central banker than we had realized.
From an Administration with no shortage of great appointments, he may turn out to have been the best.
Posted by Orrin Judd at December 28, 2011 7:17 AM
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