March 8, 2011

THE DISCIPLINE OF DEMOCRACY:

Hezbollah on Offense (Nicholas Blanford, Bilal Y. Saab, March 8, 2011, National Interest)

Despite the massive arms build-up, recruitment and training drive since 2006, history suggests that Hezbollah is perfectly capable of maintaining peace with Israel when it suits its interests and those of its benefactors in Tehran and Damascus. Since the end of the 2006 war (which began when Hezbollah miscalculated Israel’s response to the kidnapping of two soldiers along the border), the Lebanese group has not fired a single shot in anger toward its Israeli adversaries.

Whether Hezbollah launches a war depends a great deal on Tel Aviv. [...]

For over a decade, Israel has been eyeing Hezbollah’s arms build-up (a process that rapidly accelerated after the 2006 war) with discomfort. The dilemma facing Israel is whether it is worth attempting to degrade Hezbollah’s military capabilities and upset what has been the quietest four-year period along its northern border since the late 1960s. Of course, the longer Israel takes to weigh the options, the stronger Hezbollah becomes.


Rather than sucking up to a dictator, there's a moral option available: recognize Hezbollahstan as a state.

Posted by Orrin Judd at March 8, 2011 7:39 AM
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