November 17, 2010
AND THE WINNERS ARE?
Morning Jay: Special Prognostication Edition! (JAY COST, 10/15/10, Weekly Standard)
2. RealClearPolitics currently sees 184 seats going to the Democrats, 211 going to the Republicans, and another 40 as toss-ups. Allocate the remaining seats evenly, and you get a GOP pickup of 52 seats.3. Nate Silver wins the Rube Goldberg Award for the cycle by employing a complicated system of levers and pulleys to predict a very precise 47.5 seats. [...]
Also at Sabato’s site, Emory University’s Alan Abramowitz develops a predictive model based upon the final Gallup generic ballot that predicts, if the current number holds, the GOP will pick up more than 68 seats.
Time for everybody to make their predictions for the composition of the post-election chambers of Congress. The current House is 257-178, while the Senate is 59-41 (counting the I's as D's).
I'll go with a turnover that puts the House at 192-243 and the Senate at 46-54.
You can make your pick anytime up until the returns start coming in (and you can make a pick now then edit it in Disqus).
We'll try having a live comment/chat box on election night again--with hopefully more satisfactory returns to talk about).
MORE:
-NY Times Politics
-Vote Easy (Project Vote Smart)
