HEADS, WE WIN/TAILS, YOU LOSE:

Poll: 'Likely voters' favor GOP (SCOTT WONG, 10/4/10, Politico)

[I]n a high-turnout election – with more than 40 percent voter participation – Gallup estimated that likely voters would prefer a Republican over a Democrat 53 percent to 40 percent. In a lower turnout election, Gallup estimated an even bigger advantage for GOP candidates — 56 percent to 38 percent.