October 29, 2010

COLD, CALVIN, AND CONSENT OF THE GOVERNED:

Prosperity Index Shows That Democracy Still Works Best (JOEL KOTKIN, 10/26/10, Forbes)

The Legatum Prosperity Index found that all the more prosperous places – not only by income, but by quality of life, environment, education and health care – almost exclusively are democratic states. “Prosperity,” the report concludes, “is found in entrepreneurial democracies that have strong social fabrics.”

This is a critical point given the current focus and admiration for the more centralized, state-controlled models emerging in places like Russia, China and Brazil. As an emerging country, China may enjoy the highest rate of growth but overall still does not provide most of its citizens anything close to what we might consider the “good life.” China, the Legatum study found, still lags behind in a host of factors besides democracy, ranging from poor health care and a degraded environment to an overweening state role in the private sector.

In contrast, without exception, the most prosperous states are not so much the fastest-growing economies but those democracies that have been able adjust successfully to the emerging reality. At the top of the list are the northern democracies, led by Scandinavian countries Norway (#1), Denmark (#2), Finland (#3) and Sweden (#6). These are joined by other small, compact cold-weather states such as the Netherlands (#9) and Switzerland (#8). Rounding out the top 9 on the list are three resource-rich Anglo-American states, (#4) Australia, (#5) New Zealand and (#7) Canada. [...]

What about the other big Western democracies? Most rank between the ascendant Hansa and the depressed Olive Republics. The mega-giant of the liberal democracies, the U.S., ranks 10th, followed by the 13th ranked United Kingdom, 18th ranked Japan and 19th ranked France. All these countries retain strong technological prowess and entrepreneurial savvy, but have proven more adept at consuming goods and services from the rising Asian powers than selling to them. Governance, particularly fiscal management, also generally has been less impressive than among the Hansa states.

But perhaps the best proof that democracy remains an economic asset can be found not in Europe or North America, but among the developing economies. China may dominate the world’s current trajectory through its huge population and expanding economy but its level of prosperity still lags that of democratic Australia and New Zealand. It also ranks well below demonstrably more democratic countries (albeit imperfectly liberal) like #17 Singapore, #22 Taiwan and #27 South Korea. These are emerging as the Hansa of Asia, selling high-technology products and services to the emerging Asian powers . If China ever could achieve some level of democratic governance say of South Korea, the world would need to really watch out.

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Posted by Orrin Judd at October 29, 2010 6:53 AM
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