September 28, 2010

FIREWALLS AREN'T SUPPOSED TO BE TINDER:

Northeast Is the Democrats' Firewall (E.J. Dionne, 9/26/10, RCP)

The emergence of the Northeast as a potential Democratic firewall has been a long time in the making. The steady realignment of the South toward the Republicans, which rendered the party increasingly conservative, called forth a counter-realignment among moderates in the North.

That trend has been accelerating. Since 2006, Democrats have taken 18 Northeastern seats away from the Republicans, and the impact of this change is especially stark in New England. Among the region's 22 House members, not one is Republican. By contrast, nine of the 25 House members elected in that 1966 election were Republicans.

This year, Republicans have plausible chances for both of New Hampshire's House seats, and for an open seat in Massachusetts. They also have realistic prospects in a number of formerly Republican seats in New York and Pennsylvania.

But [Rep. Dan Maffei] believes the Republicans' evermore right-wing image, shaped in part by tea party activists, will impede the GOP's regional comeback efforts.


So the GOP has numerous pick-up opportunities in House districts to go along with a realistic possibility of ending up with every governor's seat in the Northeast except for NH's, which is held by a conservative Democrat, and that's all inside the Democrat's defensive wall?

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Posted by Orrin Judd at September 28, 2010 6:03 AM
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