September 29, 2010

EVERYTHING'S IN PLAY:

Plan B: Connecticut and W. Virginia Create New Outline for G.O.P. Senate Takeover (NATE SILVER, 9/28/10, NY Times)

When Christine O’Donnell won Delaware’s Republican Senate primary two weeks ago, some headlines screamed that it was a nightmare for the G.O.P. Indeed, unless polling is unusually inaccurate in Delaware, Ms. O’Donnell is unlikely to win in November, and her nomination significantly reduced the likelihood of a Republican takeover of the Senate. Two other races that once looked like tossups — in California and Washington — have also broken in the Democrats’ direction.

But Democrats have a nightmare of their own: What if the Republicans expand the Senate playing field by putting two new states, Connecticut and West Virginia, into play? Were they to win those states, Republicans could lose California, Delaware and Washington and still take claim of the Senate. And new polling suggests they could do just that.

Posted by Orrin Judd at September 29, 2010 5:10 AM
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